Silver Outlook 2021: What 2020 Taught Us

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Silver Outlook 2021: What 2020 Taught Us |

What a year it has been. In a period rife with tragedy, the world has managed to continuously adjust, to adapt, and overcome. 2020 has been a testament to the strength of the human race to weather any storm, with the power of perseverance emerging as the key to progression.

This year has also seen the spotlight intensify on the precious metals market, as the metals that have represented true value for thousands of years made their way back into the minds of people across the world.

In 2020, silver outperformed all precious metals, a trend I expect to continue in the year to come. In 2021, also look for the platinum-to-palladium ratio to narrow, with platinum outperforming.

2020 has definitely been a year of firsts.

Typically, investment demand accounts for 10% of the entire silver market. However, this year marked the first time in history that investment demand for silver extended far beyond its typical share to account for over 50% of the total market. What this development truly symbolizes is a shift in the collective consciousness, as fear, uncertainty, and distrust in governments became driving forces in the flock to safety.

Gold reached its highest price ever this year at $2,075/oz, an unsurprising feat when considering that 2020 was the perfect storm for safe-haven demand. Beyond the health crisis, global economies experienced unprecedented hardship, with a food crisis that manifested more as time progressed, and worldwide unemployment at levels never seen before.

Around the world, currencies were printed towards worthlessness as governments struggled to cope with a challenging cross-industry landscape. Recognizing the shortcomings of the international monetary system, reserve banks are exploring the practicalities of establishing central bank digital currencies (CBDCs), and institutions like the International Monetary Fund have called for a “new Bretton Woods moment.” The system was already failing; the pandemic was merely the catalyst for action.

The monetary metals garnered more interest from institutional investors this year, too, as they sought to preserve their wealth in the face of an impending economic collapse. Long-held aversions for gold seemingly dissolved overnight when news broke that Warren Buffet’s Berkshire Hathaway stock portfolio had added shares of Barrick Gold, the industry’s largest gold miner.

2020 also marked the highest gold-silver ratio level since the Great Depression, which reached a peak of 125:1 in March, a stark contrast to the 16:1 ratio that had been stable for thousands of years.

Most importantly, the events of this year have confirmed silver’s critical role in the future of technology.

This year, the Silver Institute released a report highlighting silver’s part as an enabler for the 5G revolution, and as countries globally race to build and deploy the technology, it is clear that the metal has long-term upside potential.

Also this year, researchers at Samsung utilized silver to power the production of a new solid-state battery expected to streamline the expansion of the electronic vehicle market.

In the midst of a global health crisis, silver kept people safe. Its anti-bacterial properties made it an effective component in the fight against the COVID-19 pandemic, with scientists revealing that the metal has the potential to help power the next generation of personal protective equipment.

If you’d like to hear more about the recent developments that have solidified silver’s future role in the new economy, you can watch The Morgan Report’s Silver Yearly Wrapup here.

Featured Interviews of 2020

This year, I joined various broadcasters to discuss the changing economic landscape. One notable interview was with David Lin of Kitco News, where I detailed silver’s upward potential, its complex relationship with the industrial sector, and historic gold-silver ratios.

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Another interview worth rewatching is my discussion with Greg Hunter of USAWatchdog on the Great Silver Crisis, to pinpoint how $50 worth of silver purchased in 1980 now amounts to $600, and examine what that reveals about the future silver price.

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I also joined Daniela Cambone of Stansberry Research to discuss the global silver supply, and when we can expect the silver price to rise towards its previous highs.

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